Uncertainty and imagination, illusion and order: Shackleian connections
探讨沙克尔思想中不确定性作为人类智慧与想象力的必要条件,以及我们如何通过模式创造知识、施加秩序,对经济学、管理学及认知科学研究者有启发。
Shackle's work has many connections, to economic, scientific and philosophical ideas and also to the practicalities of economic organization and business management. Uncertainty is not only a pervasive problem, but a necessary condition for human intelligence, initiative and imagination; unpredictability is essential to both scientific progress and entrepreneurship. We create knowledge by making patterns that enable us to impose order and envisage new combinations in an evolutionary process, driven by human purpose, of competing and complementary conjectures, many of which turn out to be false representations. Though academia was Shackle's natural environment, he was always concerned with applicability, and testament to the practical relevance of his ideas is provided by two former senior managers, with particular emphasis on the fundamental and domain-specific issues of what to think about and how to think about it. Copyright The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Cambridge Political Economy Society. All rights reserved., Oxford University Press.