Long-term Impacts of Droughts on Labour Markets in Developing Countries: Evidence from Brazil
研究了干旱对巴西劳动力市场的长期影响，发现农村工资损失持续五年，且损失程度取决于农业收入依赖度，支持通过多元化策略降低气候风险。
Abstract Climate shocks have well-documented impacts on the short-term welfare of rural households in developing countries. We investigate the impact of droughts on Brazilian labour markets. We find long-term rural wage losses beyond the immediate impact of the drought, with affected workers taking five years to catch up with their peers. Findings are robust to model specification. The severity of the losses varies with the dependence on agricultural income, supporting the notion of diversifying portfolio strategies in rural areas to reduce climate-related income risk.