提前投票的战略劣势/优势

The Strategic Dis/advantage of Voting Early

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · 2014
被引 5
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了顺序投票中提前投票与延迟投票的战略权衡,发现当偏好候选人明显优于其他时提前投票不利,均衡等同于同时投票;当其他候选人接近时顺序投票均衡不同。

Abstract

Under sequential voting, voting late enables conditioning on which candidates are viable, while voting early can influence the field of candidates. But the latter effect can be harmful: shrinking the field increases not only the likelihood that future voters vote for one's favorite candidate, but also that they vote for an opponent. Specifically, if one's favorite candidate is significantly better than all others, then early voting is disadvantageous and all equilibria are equivalent to simultaneous voting. Conversely, when some other candidate is almost as good, then any Markov, symmetric, anonymous equilibrium involves sequential voting (and differs from simultaneous voting).

顺序投票早期投票劣势候选人淘汰效应马尔可夫对称匿名均衡