College Entry by Blacks since 1970: The Role of College Costs, Family Background, and the Returns to Education
利用1973-1988年18-19岁青年的时间序列数据，分析大学成本、家庭背景和当地经济条件如何影响黑人高中毕业生的大学入学率变化。
College enrollment of black eighteen-nineteen-year-old high school graduates declined from 1980 through 1984 and then rebounded. This paper presents data from a time series of cross-sections of eighteen-nineteen-year-old youths from 1973 through 1988 to test the role of family background, direct college costs, local economic conditions, and returns to college in driving these trends. The evidence suggests that, on the one hand, increases in direct college costs were driving enrollment rates downward. On the other hand, dramatic increases in average parental education exerted upward pressure on college enrollment by blacks, particularly in the latter half of the decade. Copyright 1994 by University of Chicago Press.