Predicting and Preventing Shootings among At-Risk Youth
本文与芝加哥公立学校合作，构建预测模型识别高危学生并纳入导师干预项目，初步评估发现干预对减少学校不当行为或改善教育成果效果有限，且规模不足以评估对枪击的影响。
Each year, more than 250 students in the Chicago Public Schools (CPS) are shot. The authors of this paper worked with the leadership of CPS to build a predictive model of shootings that helped determine which students would be included in a highly targeted and resource intensive mentorship program. This paper describes our predictive model and offers a preliminary evaluation of the mentoring intervention performed by Youth Advocate Programs, Inc. (YAP). We find little evidence that the intervention reduces school misconducts or improves educational outcomes. The scale of intervention was too small to generate meaningful findings on shootings.