一致区分I(0)和I(1)过程的不可能性

THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF CONSISTENT DISCRIMINATION BETWEEN I(0) AND I(1) PROCESSES

Econometric Theory · 2008
被引 43
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

证明,按照标准定义(I(0)过程满足泛函中心极限定理,I(1)过程的一阶差分为I(0)),无法一致地判断一个过程是I(0)还是I(1);同时存在一致的单位根检验和非平凡的不一致平稳性检验。

Abstract

An I(0) process is commonly defined as a process that satisfies a functional central limit theorem, i.e., whose scaled partial sums converge weakly to a Wiener process, and an I(1) process as a process whose first differences are I(0). This paper establishes that with this definition, it is impossible to consistently discriminate between I(0) and I(1) processes. At the same time, on a more constructive note, there exist consistent unit root tests and also nontrivial inconsistent stationarity tests with correct asymptotic size.

I(0)过程I(1)过程一致判别单位根检验