超越垃圾桶:组织选择的AI模型

Beyond Garbage Cans: An Al Model of Organizational Choice

ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCE QUARTERLY · 1989
被引 158
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

基于垃圾桶决策模型的模拟方法,利用人工智能工具构建了一个新的组织决策模型,将模糊选择与结构化条件下的决策相结合,模拟结果显示结构化组织中的决策可能变得与无政府状态一样混乱,但原因不同。

Abstract

Part of this research was conducted during Michael Masuch's stay as a scholar of the Dutch National Science Foundation at the Graduate School of Public Affairs, State University of New York at Albany. Thanks are due to faculty and staff of the GSPA, and especially to Ron Hoskins, for all kinds of support, and to Maureen Donahue and Min Yuan for their assistance. Additional support came through grant #500-280-101 of the Dutch National Science Foundation and a Study Contract with International Business Machines Co. This study builds on the simulation methodology on which the metaphor of garbage can decision making was originally based, presenting a new model of organizational decision making that complements the original garbage can model by combining ambiguous choice with decision making under conditions of structure. The new model overcomes important, design-related limitations of previous studies by adopting tools from artificial intelligence (Al). Based on the interplay of actors, skills, actions, issues, and structure, the model represents human decision making as symbol-driven search activity. The results of the simulation indicate that decision making in organized structures may become as disorderly as decision making in organized anarchies, but for different reasons.'

组织决策人工智能管理科学计算机科学社会学