Income Distribution, Market Size, and Industrialization
当国际贸易成本高时,一国只有国内市场足够大才能实现工业化;农业或出口等主导部门的增长及其收入的广泛分配是工业化的两个条件。
When world trade is costly, a country can profitably industrialize only if its domestic markets are large enough. In such a country, for increasing returns technologies to break even, sales must be high enough to cover fixed setup costs. We suggest two conditions conducive to industrialization. First, a leading sector, such as agriculture or exports, must grow and provide the source of autonomous demand for manufactures. Second, income generated by this leading sector must be broadly enough distributed that it materializes as demand for a broad range of domestic manufactures. These conditions have been important in several historical growth episodes.