寻找沉没成本谬误

Searching for the sunk cost fallacy

Experimental Economics · 2007
被引 170 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过电脑挖宝游戏实验,检验沉没成本效应是否存在及其影响因素,发现沉没成本效应很小且不受常见心理因素影响。

Abstract

Abstract We seek to isolate in the laboratory factors that encourage and discourage the sunk cost fallacy. Subjects play a computer game in which they decide whether to keep digging for treasure on an island or to sink a cost (which will turn out to be either high or low) to move to another island. The research hypothesis is that subjects will stay longer on islands that were more costly to find. Eleven treatment variables are considered, e.g. alternative visual displays, whether the treasure value of an island is shown on arrival or discovered by trial and error, and alternative parameters for sunk costs. The data reveal a surprisingly small sunk cost effect that is generally insensitive to the proposed psychological drivers.

沉没成本谬误实验经济学决策行为心理驱动因素