An Exploratory Analysis of Fertility Differentials in India
利用印度全国家庭健康调查和1991年人口普查数据,发现经济变量能解释印度各邦生育率差异的70%,但女性自主权等非经济变量解释力更强(84%),说明解释印度生育率需更多关注非经济因素。
The association between improving economic conditions and declining growth of population has led economists and demographers to hypothesise a direct relationship between indicators of economic development and fertility rates. Using recent National Family Health Survey data and the 1991 Census to explore factors contributing to fertility rates in India, we found that economic variables explain 70 per cent of the interstate variations in India's fertility rates. However, several non-economic variables explain an even greater proportion, for example, indicators of female autonomy explain 84 per cent of the variations. Our analysis demonstrates that to successfully explain Indian fertility rates, models must rely heavily on non-economic variables.