Putting Out the Fires: Will Higher Taxes Reduce the Onset of Youth Smoking?
重新检验了提高香烟税能否显著减少青少年吸烟，发现从八年级到十二年级的吸烟起始和重度吸烟起始中，税收效应很弱或不存在，并指出最终辍学的学生在八年级时已更可能吸烟。
This paper reexamines whether higher cigarette taxes will substantially reduce youth smoking. We study the impact of taxes during exactly the period in adolescence in which most smokers start their habits. We find weak or nonexistent tax effects in models of the onset of smoking between eighth and twelfth grades, models of the onset of heavy smoking between eighth and twelfth grades, and discrete-time hazard models that include state fixed effects. We also provide a new perspective on the relationship between smoking and schooling: students who eventually drop out of school are already more likely to smoke in the eighth grade.