A QUARTERLY MODEL FOR THE EEC BEEF SECTOR
构建了一个季度计量模型，用于预测欧共体9国牛肉和小牛肉部门的行为，特别是出口，重点关注生产对贸易的影响。
The aim of the paper is to forecast the behaviour of the EEC‐9 beef and veal sector‐particularly exports‐starting from a quarterly econometric model explaining past developments of the principal macro‐economic variables from 1976 to 1982 inclusive. Attention is focused on production as its evolution has been and is considered to continue to be the most important factor influencing the development of the EEC‐9 external trade of beef and veal. The paper presents firstly a theoretical approach as a basis for formulating the econometric model. Then, the parameters of the structural model are estimated for forecasting purposes; conclusions follow.