审慎与偏态寻求的检验

Testing for Prudence and Skewness Seeking

Management Science · 2011
被引 170
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

通过实验室实验检验审慎(prudence)与偏态偏好(skewness preference)的关系,发现审慎并不等同于偏态寻求,为预防性储蓄等理论提供实证支持。

Abstract

Numerous theoretical predictions such as precautionary saving or preventive behavior have been derived for prudent decision makers. Further, prudence can be characterized as downside risk aversion and plays a key role in preference for skewness. We use a simple experimental method to test for prudence and skewness preference in the laboratory and compare the two. To this end, we introduce a novel graphical representation of compound lotteries that is easily accessible to subjects and test it for robustness, using a factorial design. Prudence is observed on the aggregate and individual level. We find that prudence does not boil down to skewness seeking. We further provide some theoretical explanations for this result. This paper was accepted by Peter Wakker, decision analysis.

审慎偏好偏态偏好复合彩票实验方法