SERIAL CORRELATION IN MULTIREGIONAL MIGRATION MODELS*
研究了多区域净迁移方程时间序列中一阶序列相关的设定与估计，指出非随机加总约束对序列相关系数的限制，并用加拿大十省1962-1985年数据验证了该系数的重要性。
"In this paper, we outline the specification and estimation of a time series of multiregional net-migration equations subject to first-order serial correlation. We show that the necessary nonstochastic adding-up constraint, which requires that net migration in the system sum to zero, imposes restrictions on the serial-correlation coefficients. We estimate equations under these restrictions using data for the ten Canadian provinces for the period 1962-1985. The results confirm the significance of the serial-correlation coefficient and, hence, the importance of incorporating this correction in future time-series models of multiregional migration."