自回归条件异方差的一种非参数检验:马尔可夫链方法

A Nonparametric Test for Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity: A Markov-Chain Approach

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1989
被引 23
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种基于有限状态马尔可夫链的非参数检验,用于检测自回归条件异方差。蒙特卡洛实验表明,在条件正态分布下该检验与拉格朗日乘子检验表现相当,而在t分布、对数正态分布和指数分布下更优。

Abstract

In this article we propose a nonparametric test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity based on finite-state Markov chains. A simple Monte Carlo experiment suggests that in finite samples it performs comparably to the Lagrange multiplier test under conditional normality and is superior for the t, lognormal, and exponential distributions. As an illustration, we apply both tests to Canadian/U.S. forward foreign exchange data.

非参数检验自回归条件异方差马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛实验