更深入地看清游戏是否会增加获胜机会?

Does seeing more deeply into a game increase one's chances of winning?

Experimental Economics · 2006
被引 11
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了在超出双方理性边界的博弈中,理性边界更高的玩家获胜概率为63%,且差距越大胜率越高,表明认知能力影响博弈结果。

Abstract

Abstract The substantively rational value of the games studied in this paper does not help predict subject performance in the experiment at all. An accurate model must account for the cognitive ability of the people playing the game. This paper investigates whether the variation in measured rationality bounds is correlated with the probability of winning when playing against another person in games that exceed both players’ estimated rationality bound. Does seeing deeper into a game matter when neither player can see to the end of the game? Subjects with higher measured bounds win 63 percent of the time and the larger the difference the more frequently they win.

理性边界博弈深度获胜概率认知能力