An Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution
提出一组公理来合并不同专家的概率评估，为理解已有结果提供框架，并推导出将不同来源的事件概率合并为单一估计的新方法。
This paper proposes a set of axioms for combining expert probability assessments. The axioms provide a framework for understanding previous results, and are used to derive a new method for combining event probabilities from different sources into a single estimate.