街头羊群:短期投机市场中的信息无效率

Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short‐Term Speculation

Journal of Finance · 1992
被引 1102 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

发现,当投机者持有期较短时,他们会模仿他人关注相同信息,甚至研究无关基本面的信息,导致市场信息无效率,对理解短期投机行为和市场效率有参考价值。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Standard models of informed speculation suggest that traders try to learn information that others do not have. This result implicitly relies on the assumption that speculators have long horizons, i.e., can hold the asset forever. By contrast, we show that if speculators have short horizons, they may herd on the same information, trying to learn what other informed traders also know. There can be multiple herding equilibria, and herding speculators may even choose to study information that is completely unrelated to fundamentals.

短期投机信息效率羊群效应投机者行为