Adjustment Lags, Economically Rational Expectations and Price Behavior
研究价格对解释变量变化的反应滞后来源与程度，对预测价格变动和制定通胀政策有重要意义，并批评了常用的静态新古典定价模型。
source and the extent of lags in the response of prices to changes in various explanatory variables. Knowledge of the relevant lag patterns is of obvious importance for forecasting movements in prices and for formulating policies that are designed to reduce the rate of inflation. In the recent empirical literature on prices, the model most commonly used to specify price equations is the static neo-classical model of price formation.1 This model presumes that the representative firm behaves as if it were a simple monopolist that faces competitive factor input markets. The firm is assumed to set its price so as to maximize current profits. The model yields the proposition that the firm's long-run optimal price depends on expected normal factor input prices and variables, e.g., expected real income, that shift the firm's demand curve. Lags are introduced into the pricing process of this model in two ways. Some authors2 focus on expectation formation lags whereby normal factor input prices or variables that shift the firm's demand curve are related through distributed lags to past values of the variable being forecast. Often, the distributed lag is assumed to be