协同规划、预测与补货信息系统中的学习曲线:来自一家手机制造商的实证分析

Learning curves in collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment (CPFR) information systems: An empirical analysis from a mobile phone manufacturer

JOURNAL OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT · 2013
被引 64
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了摩托罗拉与其美国零售伙伴在CPFR系统中的学习曲线,发现协同预测和协同补货呈现不同学习模式,预测精度先快后慢,库存水平先升后降,且产品换代时库存水平更低。

Abstract

Abstract While Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) information systems have been increasingly deployed to improve supply chain operations in a cross section of industries, the extant literature has largely overlooked the learning effects within organizations, thereby resulting in incomplete assessment of their business value. Using an operational‐level panel data for nine product lines over 2.5 years, we empirically examine the learning curves in CPFR between Motorola, a mobile phone manufacturer, and one of its U.S.‐based national retail partners. We found that the two key components of CPFR, collaborative forecasting (CF) and collaborative replenishment (CR), exhibit distinct learning curves. Forecast accuracy improves immediately following CPFR implementation but the rate of improvement slows over time, whereas inventory levels increase at first and begin decreasing after a period. Further, we found different learning effects in terms of inventory levels when products are later replaced with new form factors. Product replacements have lower inventory levels than their antecedents, at least for low‐end products. We discuss important implications for theory and practice at the interface of information systems and operations management.

供应链管理信息系统运营管理学习曲线需求预测