从中央计划到中心性:波兰大爆炸后克拉科夫的土地价格

From Central Planning to Centrality: Krakow's Land Prices After Poland's Big Bang

Real Estate Economics · 2005
被引 16
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了波兰克拉科夫从社会主义向市场经济转型10年间商业土地价格的空间和时间演变,发现价格梯度趋向于多个中心而非单一中心,并揭示了忽略这些中心会导致回归系数偏差。

Abstract

We examine commercial land markets in Krakow, Poland over a 10‐year period of transition from socialist management to a market economy. We explore the spatial and temporal evolution of land prices over this period. In particular, we are interested in identifying trends toward or away from centrality, and in discovering whether or not these trends acted on the city center alone or over a set of centers. The data set we employ is uniquely appropriate for this purpose as the densifying force of “highest‐and‐best” use—typically found in market‐oriented cities—was absent under four decades of socialist planning, leaving undeveloped land scattered throughout the city. Free of quality control issues associated with disentangling the value of land from properties in which land and structures are bundled, the data offer a clean assessment of land prices within an urban area. We employ a novel, iterative approach to identify pricing centers—“nodes” of similarly sized residuals—which we interpret as evidence of omitted spatial amenities. Using this approach, we find that the price gradient in Krakow evolved toward concentration, but concentration in several centers rather than in just one. We find that the exclusion of proximity to these centers leads to biased coefficients in the hedonic regressions; we also find that the majority of the apparent spatial autocorrelation in the aspatial regressions results from the omission of proximity to these centers.

土地价格空间梯度多中心结构波兰转型