Factor Substitution and Factor-Augmenting Technical Progress in the United States: A Normalized Supply-Side System Approach
使用标准化CES函数估计美国1953-1998年的供给侧系统,发现要素替代弹性显著低于1,且技术进步呈不对称模式:劳动增强型呈指数增长,资本增强型呈双曲或对数增长。
Using a normalized CES function with factor-augmenting technical progress, we estimate a supply-side system of the U.S. economy from 1953 to 1998. Avoiding potential estimation biases that may have occurred in earlier studies and putting a high emphasis on data consistency, we obtain robust results not only for the aggregate elasticity of substitution but also for the parameters of labor and capital augmenting technical change. We find that the elasticity of substitution is significantly below unity and that technical progress shows an asymmetrical pattern where the growth of labor-augmenting technical progress is exponential, while that of capital is hyperbolic or logarithmic. Copyright by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.