如何在贝叶斯模型平均中使用交互项:对Crespo Cuaresma关于Masanjala和Papageorgiou(2008)评论的回复

How to use interaction terms in BMA: Reply to Crespo Cuaresma's comment on Masanjala and Papageorgiou (2008)

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2011
被引 14
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

回应了Crespo Cuaresma对Masanjala和Papageorgiou(2008)的批评,论证原模型先验同样合理,并指出需进一步研究BMA框架下的参数异质性。

Abstract

Jesus Crespo Cuaresma (How different is Africa? A comment on Masanjala and Papageorgiou. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011) shows that the results in Masanjala and Papageorgiou (Rough and lonely road to prosperity: a reexamination of the sources of growth in Africa using Bayesian model averaging. Journal of Applied Econometrics 2008; 23(5): 671–682) are sensitive to an alternative prior model structure in considering interaction terms. As a side issue, the algorithm for averaging over models is also challenged. In this reply I show that the prior used in Masanjala and Papageorgiou is as sensible as the prior suggested by Crespo Cuaresma. What we learn from Crespo Cuaresma's comment and this reply is that further effort should be dedicated to the study of parameter heterogeneity in the framework of BMA methods. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

贝叶斯模型平均交互项参数异质性模型先验