货币政策国际收支抵消效应:墨西哥和委内瑞拉的货币主义、资产组合平衡和凯恩斯主义估计

The Balance of Payments Offset to Monetary Policy: Monetarist, Portfolio Balance, and Keynesian Estimates for Mexico and Venezuela

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 1986
被引 45
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

估计了墨西哥和委内瑞拉的国际收支方程,发现委内瑞拉存在较大抵消效应,而墨西哥在1970年代无显著抵消,但1951-1970年间抵消接近-1,表明存在结构性变化。

Abstract

Three balance-of-payments equations are specified and estimated for Mexico and Venezuela. While a large offset is found for Venezuela, there is no evidence of a significant offset for Mexico in the 1970s. However, it is shown that from 1951 to 1970, the offset was close to minus one, suggesting there was structural change in the 1970s. The estimated offset for Venezuela in the Keynesian equation is smaller than that in the monetarist equation, supporting arguments that the latter is biased toward minus one. However, the long-run offset is minus one in accord ance with both approaches. Copyright 1986 by Ohio State University Press.

国际收支货币分析法资产组合平衡模型抵消系数墨西哥委内瑞拉