Managerial Tenure, Business Age, and Small Business Turnover
利用1982年企业主特征调查数据，发现小企业失败和出售的概率随管理者任期增加而下降，且企业年龄越大失败概率越低。
This article explores a Census Bureau survey of the small business sector, the 1982 Characteristics of Business Owners survey, which contains information on both small businesses and the managers running them. A number of patterns are documented. For example, among small businesses of the same age, the probability that a business fails and the probability that a business is sold are both initially decreasing in the tenure of the manager at the business. Among businesses with managers who have the same tenure at their business, the probability that a business fails is decreasing in the age of the business. Copyright 1996 by University of Chicago Press.