自回归移动平均过程的预测理论

Prediction theory for autoregressivemoving average processes

Econometric Reviews · 1988
被引 33 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

综述了自回归移动平均过程的统计预测理论,展示了统计与控制理论文献之间的联系,并利用卡尔曼滤波处理了差分平稳等更一般的情况。

Abstract

This paper reviews statistical prediction theory for autoregressive-moving average processes wing techniques developed in control theory. It demonstrates explicitly the connectioluns between the statistical and control theory literatures. Both the forecasting problem and the Single extraction problem am considered, udng linear least squares methods. Whereas the classical Statistical theory developed by Wiener and Kolmogomv is restricted to stationary stochaotic processes, the recursive techniques known as the Kalman filter are shown to provide a satisfactory treatment of the difference-stationary care and other more general cases. Complete results for non-invertible moving averages are also obtained.

自回归移动平均过程预测理论卡尔曼滤波非平稳过程