政策委员会与政策平滑

Policy Boards and Policy Smoothing*

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2000
被引 60
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究如何通过设立独立政策委员会来降低选举不确定性带来的政策波动,发现委员会能有效平滑政策、减少不确定性,并复现合作博弈结果。

Abstract

Partisan politics and random election outcomes generate policy uncertainty and partisan business cycles. To reduce policy uncertainty, society must design the policy-making environment to overcome electoral uncertainty and partisanship. I show that delegating policy to an independent policy board with discretionary powers will produce substantial policy smoothing and lower policy uncertainty relative to a simple model in which elected officials set policy. Board members are chosen in a partisan, noncooperative environment; yet in the benchmark model, policy variability is eliminated, and the cooperative bargaining solution is replicated.

政策委员会政策平滑党派政治选举不确定性