线性趋势下单位根检验的势

Power of Tests for Unit Roots in the Presence of a Linear Trend*

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2008
被引 3
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

在线性趋势自回归模型中比较了Dickey-Fuller检验与其他单位根检验的统计势,发现DF检验更严格,且对初始值做假设可提高检验势,但需权衡稳健性。

Abstract

Abstract Dickey and Fuller [ Econometrica (1981) Vol. 49, pp. 1057–1072] suggested unit‐root tests for an autoregressive model with a linear trend conditional on an initial observation. T Power of tests for unit roots in the presence of a linear trend ightly different model with a random initial value in which nuisance parameters can easily be eliminated by an invariant reduction of the model. We show that invariance arguments can also be used when comparing power within a conditional model. In the context of the conditional model, the Dickey–Fuller test is shown to be more stringent than a number of unit‐root tests motivated by models with random initial value. The power of the Dickey–Fuller test can be improved by making assumptions to the initial value. The practitioner therefore has to trade‐off robustness and power, as assumptions about initial values are hard to test, but can give more power.

单位根检验线性趋势初始值检验功效