GARCH模型的经验似然方法

EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD FOR GARCH MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2006
被引 67
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

为常规GARCH模型和含单位根的GARCH模型开发了经验似然方法,证明了似然比统计量的渐近分布,可用于检验GARCH框架下的单位根。

Abstract

This paper develops an empirical likelihood approach for regular generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models and GARCH models with unit roots. For regular GARCH models, it is shown that the log empirical likelihood ratio statistic asymptotically follows a χ2 distribution. For GARCH models with unit roots, two versions of the empirical likelihood methods, the least squares score and the maximum likelihood score functions, are considered. For both cases, the limiting distributions of the log empirical likelihood ratio statistics are established. These two statistics can be used to test for unit roots under the GARCH framework. Finite-sample performances are assessed through simulations for GARCH models with unit roots.This research was supported in part by Hong Kong Research grants Council Grants CUHK4043/02P and HKUST6273/03H. The authors thank two referees and the Co-Editor, Bruce Hansen, for insightful and helpful comments about the relationship between QMLE and MELE, which led to substantial improvement of the presentation. Computational assistance from Jerry Wong and Chun-Yip Yau is also gratefully acknowledged.

经验似然GARCH模型单位根检验χ2分布