国际货币政策协调与竞争性贬值:重新评估

International Monetary Policy Coordination and Competitive Depreciation: A Reevaluation

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2000
被引 45
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

重新评估浮动汇率下国际货币政策协调的必要性,发现当企业按买方货币定价时,货币政策会产生负福利溢出,引发竞争性贬值,从而恢复协调的必要性。

Abstract

Is there a need for international coordination of monetary policies within the current system of floating exchange rates? In a recent paper, Obstfeld and Rogoff (1995) argue that in an environment of sticky prices, under floating exchange rates monetary policy shocks will generate positive welfare spillovers across countries. This leads to the conclusion that international monetary policy coordination is unnecessary, and may in fact be undesirable, since it nurtures a bias towards high inflation. Our paper shows that these conclusions are dependent on the manner in which prices are set. When firms engage in pricing-to-market (PTM), setting prices in the currency of the buyer, monetary policy tends to have negative welfare spillovers. This gives an incentive to engage in competitive depreciation. In a noncooperative equilibrium, world inflation will be higher, the greater the importance of PTM. With a high degree of PTM, it follows that the case for international monetary policy coordination is restored. If PTM is at an intermediate range, however, international monetary coordination may have no consequences at all.

定价-市场行为货币溢出效应竞争性贬值国际货币政策协调