Hyperbolic Discounting and the Sustainability of Rotational Savings Arrangements
研究了发展中国家轮转储蓄协会(roscas)在缺乏正式合同、社会惩罚和声誉机制时,双曲贴现者为何不会违约,并预测了随机与固定轮转储蓄的相对存续性。
People across the developing world join rotational savings and credit associations (roscas) to fund repeated purchases of nondivisible goods. When the scope for punishment is weak, there is a natural question about why agents not defect from roscas. This paper models roscas as commitment savings devices and derives conditions under which hyperbolic discounters will never defect, even in the absence of formal contracting, social punishment, and reputation. I show why, unlike with standard commitment devices, a hyperbolic discounter will not postpone entry into a rosca. Finally, this paper makes predictions about the relative survival of random and fixed roscas.