Dynamic Adjustment in the Japanese Livestock Industry Under Beef Import Liberalization
用计量模型模拟1988-1997年日本牛肉进口两种政策(市场准入协议与完全自由化)对畜牧业的动态影响,适合关注贸易政策与农业调整的读者。
Abstract Dynamic adjustment of Japanese livestock markets is analyzed under two alternative import policies: the 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement (BMAA) and complete liberalization of Japanese beef import policies. Modeling problems associated with these policies include the change from a quota to a tariff, the incorporation of a meat demand system derived from utility‐maximizing behavior into a livestock policy model, complementarity, and changes in the degree of producer supply responsiveness under alternative policies. An econometric model of the Japanese livestock industry is used to simulate and compare the impacts of the two policies from 1988 through 1997.