Bias in Spatial Risk Assessment
研究发现,在有视觉成分的不确定决策中,人们会高估左侧视野中威胁的风险,并通过行人过马路、评估可疑人物和物体污染风险等自然场景验证了这一偏差,还探讨了其机制和启示。
In instances of decision making under uncertainty with a visual component, we propose that individuals show a bias and estimate a higher probability of a threat affecting them if the threat is located in their left visual field compared to their right visual field. Across four studies we demonstrate the bias in naturalistic settings such as pedestrians assessing the risk of crossing the street, individuals estimating the risk posed from an unsavory person, and people assessing the contamination risk of an object. Moreover, we discuss four potential mechanisms that could cause the proposed effect. Finally, we discuss theoretical, managerial, and policy implications. This paper was accepted by Yuval Rottenstreich, judgment and decision making.