Employment, Wages, and Voter Turnout
利用县级面板数据,研究发现当地工资和就业率提高会降低州长、参议员等选举的投票率,但对总统选举无影响,且劳动力市场改善时同一选票上部分选举的投票差异增大。
Using county-level data across several decades, and various OLS and TSLS models, we find that higher local wages and employment lower turnout in elections for governor, senator, US Congress and state House of Representatives, but have no effect on presidential turnout. We also find that the share of people voting in one election but not in another on the same ballot increases as local labor market conditions improve. We argue that these results are most consistent with information-based models of voting, and use individual level panel data to show that increased employment lowers media usage and political knowledge.