Does Childhood Predict Adult Life Satisfaction? Evidence from British Cohort Surveys
利用两项英国队列调查数据，发现童年特征可解释约7%的成年生活满意度变异，加入成年期变量后预测力升至15.6%，而长期生活满意度滞后项则升至35.5%。
We investigate the extent to which childhood characteristics are predictive of adult life satisfaction using data from two British cohort studies. In total, variables observed up to age 16 predict around 7% of the variation in average adult life satisfaction. Adding contemporaneous adulthood variables increases the predictive power to 15.6%, while adding long lags of life satisfaction increases it to 35.5%. Overall, we estimate that around 30–45% of adult life satisfaction is fixed, suggesting that 55–70% is transitory in nature, and that a wide range of observed childhood circumstances capture about 15% of the fixed component.