The impact of advertising regulation on industry: the cigarette advertising ban of 1971
研究了1971年电视/广播广告禁令对香烟行业的影响,发现广告支出先降后升并超过禁令前水平,通过动态寡头模型解释了这一趋势,其中行业动态解释了74%的增长,学习效应解释了26%。
This article studies the impact of the 1971 TV/radio advertising ban on the cigarette industry. Data indicate that industry advertising spending decreased sharply immediately following the ban but recovered and actually exceeded the preban level within five years. A dynamic oligopoly model of advertising is developed to incorporate two potential explanations. The estimated model fully accounts for the puzzling trend, with 74% of the postban advertising spending increase explained by industry dynamics, and 26% explained by learning. Furthermore, this article uses the new concept of nonstationary oblivious equilibrium to handle intractable state space and accelerate equilibrium computation.