The Determinants of Wheat Variety Selection in Kansas, 1974 to 1993
用回归分析量化了堪萨斯州小麦种植品种与产量、品质等特征的关系,发现农民会综合考虑终端品质、产量稳定性等因素,并模拟了品种改良的采用路径。
Abstract In 1993, over one‐third of Kansas wheat acres were seeded to varieties with milling and baking qualities ranked “less desirable,” stimulating interest in the determinants of wheat variety selection. Regression analysis is used to quantify the relationship between planted varieties and wheat characteristics relating to production and end‐use qualities. Results indicate that Kansas wheat producers consider end‐use qualities, production characteristics, relative yields, yield stability, and past production decisions when selecting wheat varieties. Simulation results reveal potential tradeoffs facing wheat breeders and seed dealers. Time paths of adoption are projected for potential improvements in wheat yields and quality characteristics.