Testing the Minimax Hypothesis: A Re-Examination of O'Neill's Game Experiment
重新分析奥尼尔重复两人常和博弈实验数据,发现支持最小最大假说的证据比原研究少,玩家选择存在序列相关性,且经验增加未使行为趋近最小最大。
One re-examines the data from O'Neill's experiment involving a repeated, two-person, constant-sum game. One finds that there is less evidence in support of the minimax hypothesis than indicated by O'Neill. There is strong evidence of serial correlation in players' choices, with several players displaying statistically significant dependence on the past moves of their opponents. One interprets this finding as evidence that the players themselves rejected minimax play as the appropriate model for their opponents' behavior. One finds no evidence that players' behavior approached minimax behavior as players became more experienced