策略行为与价格发现

Strategic Behavior and Price Discovery

RAND Journal of Economics · 2001
被引 69
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

分析内幕交易者在竞争性知情交易者存在时,如何通过反向策略操纵价格发现过程,导致价格不收敛于基本面价值,且交易量呈U型分布。

Abstract

The paper analyzes the effects of strategic behavior by an insider in a price discovery process, akin to an information tatonnement, in the presence of a competitive informed sector. Such processes are used in the preopening period of continuous trading systems in several exchanges. It is found that the insider manipulates the market using a contrarian strategy in order to neutralize the effect of the trades of competitive informed agents. Furthermore, consistently with the empirical evidence available, we find that information revelation accelerates close to the opening, that the market price does not converge to the fundamental value no matter how many rounds the tatonnement has, and that the expected trading volume displays a U-shaped pattern. We also find that a market with a larger competitive sector (smaller insider) has an improved informational efficiency and an increased trading volume. The insider provides a public good (a lower informativeness of the price) for the competitive informed sector.

内幕交易者价格发现竞争性知情交易者逆向策略信息效率