买方卖方谈判中单边不完全信息与时间折现的实验研究

An Experimental Study of Buyer-Seller Negotiation with One-Sided Incomplete Information and Time Discounting

Management Science · 1995
被引 72
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

实验研究卖方与买方在单边不完全信息和时间折现下的多期讨价还价,发现被试遵循简单经验法则,不支持序列均衡。

Abstract

We study a multiperiod bargaining mechanism in which a seller negotiates with a buyer over the price of an indivisible good. It is common knowledge that the good has zero value to the seller. Its value to the buyer is privately known, distributed independently of the seller’s value according to a distribution that is common knowledge. Bargaining proceeds as follows. The seller sets a price and offers the buyer an opportunity to purchase the good. The buyer either waits for at least one more period or agrees to purchase the good at the given price. If the buyer refuses the offer, then the process is repeated with seller making a new offer on the next period. Our findings reveal several behavioral regularities, which do not support the sequential equilibrium for this bargaining mechanism. In line with recent developments in behavioral decision theory and game theory, which assume bounded rationality, we find that subjects follow simple rules of thumb in choosing strategies, reflected in the behavioral consistencies observed in the study.

买方-卖方谈判不完全信息时间贴现实验研究