The Estimation of Quality-Adjusted Auction Returns with Varying Transaction Intervals
提出一种信号提取方法,同时处理交易间隔不规则和价格质量变化问题,将拍卖价格分解为经质量调整的永久成分和暂时性质量变化成分,发现拍卖收益的波动几乎全部来自质量变化。
Previous research has separately addressed the problem of estimating risk in the presence of infrequent trading and the problem of estimating quality-adjusted returns in markets with quality variation in the observed price series. This paper simultaneously addresses both problems by applying a signal extraction method for unequally spaced data to decompose the observed price series with varying times between transactions into a quality-adjusted, permanent component (which would be observable in the absence of quality variation) plus a stationary, transitory quality variation component. Stamp auction transaction prices provide an application. Auction quality grading is treated in a manner analogous to bond ratings. Almost all of the observed variance is attributed to the auction quality variation. The observed auction returns and stock index returns are not well related.