Agricultural trade regimes: impact on sector proportions, real incomes and hunger in the world
利用IIASA的BLS国家模型，模拟了不同国家群体（仅发展中国家、仅OECD国家、所有市场经济体）农业贸易自由化的后果，发现对增长影响小，但对部门平衡和饥饿影响显著且不一定有利。
In the article the consequences of agricultural trade liberalization are explored with the help of the Basic Linked System (BLS) of national models developed by the Food and Agricultural Programme (FAP) of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA). After a brief description of the model characteristics, the consequences of agricultural trade liberalization (1) by only the less developed countries, (2) by only the OECD countries, and (3) by all market economies are explored with respect to the impact on (a) the global market environment, (b) domestic relative prices, (c) sectoral composition, (d) real incomes, and (e) level of chronic hunger. The results of these model calculations indicate that a move to liberalized trade results in a small change in growth but that the impact on sectoral balance and hunger is significant, though not always favourable.