Bose-Einstein Dynamics and Adaptive Contracting in the Motion Picture Industry
发现电影票房收入分布呈现玻色-爱因斯坦动力学特征,信息级联导致票房成功或失败,收入分布随放映期递归演化,而分散化、自适应的合约机制将影片租金和放映供给与需求匹配。
Audiences discover what films they like and spread the word. Information feedback produces Bose-Einstein dynamics in the motion picture box office revenue distribution. Information cascades generate box office 'hits' and 'flops.' The revenue distribution evolves recursively over the 'run' as a mixture of the 'opening' and a stochastic competition among films. The motion picture run is decentralized, adaptive, and self-organizing: semistationary admission prices, local information, and contingency-rich contracts match the film rental price and the supply of theatrical engagements to demand. Copyright 1996 by Royal Economic Society.