IDENTIFYING THE BROWNIAN COVARIATION FROM THE CO-JUMPS GIVEN DISCRETE OBSERVATIONS
提出一种阈值估计量,在高频数据中分离资产价格风险的布朗运动和跳跃成分,从而一致估计布朗协变,无需对波动率动态做假设,并适用于非同步数据。
When the covariance between the risk factors of asset prices is due to both Brownian and jump components, the realized covariation (RC) approaches the sum of the integrated covariation (IC) with the sum of the co-jumps, as the observation frequency increases to infinity, in a finite and fixed time horizon. In this paper the two components are consistently separately estimated within a semimartingale framework with possibly infinite activity jumps. The threshold (or truncated) estimator $I\hat C_n $ is used, which substantially excludes from RC all terms containing jumps. Unlike in Jacod (2007, Universite de Paris-6) and Jacod (2008, Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 118, 517–559), no assumptions on the volatilities’ dynamics are required. In the presence of only finite activity jumps: 1) central limit theorems (CLTs) for $I\hat C_n $ and for further measures of dependence between the two Brownian parts are obtained; the estimation error asymptotic variance is shown to be smaller than for the alternative estimators of IC in the literature; 2) by also selecting the observations as in Hayashi and Yoshida (2005, Bernoulli 11, 359–379), robustness to nonsynchronous data is obtained. The proposed estimators are shown to have good finite sample performances in Monte Carlo simulations even with an observation frequency low enough to make microstructure noises’ impact on data negligible.