时效性不足和噪音作为同期收益与收益关联性低的解释

Lack of timeliness and noise as explanations for the low contemporaneuos return-earnings association

Journal of Accounting & Economics · 1994
被引 506
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

检验了收益的时效性不足和价值无关噪音是否解释了同期收益与收益之间的弱关联,发现考虑未来收益后解释力提高3-6倍。

Abstract

We assess earning's lack of timeliness and value-irrelavant noise in earnings as explanations for the weak contemporaneous return-earnings assocation. Earnings lack timeliness because objectivity, verifiability, and conservatism conventions underlie the accounting measurement process. Noise in earnings is uncorrelated with returns in all periods. It likely gets introduced when estimates of future cash flows that differ from the market's estimates are included in earnings determined by accounting rules. Consistent with earning lacking timeliness, we find current and future earnings adjusted for expectational errors explain roughly 3–6 times as much of the annual return variation as current earnings alone.

收益时效性不足收益噪音当期收益-回报关联会计计量惯例