主权债务的持续重新签约模型

A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt

Journal of Political Economy · 1986
被引 106
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个动态国际借贷模型,分析借款人无法承诺未来还款时,债务国如何通过谈判实现部分违约或重新安排债务,并考虑未来再次谈判的可能性。

Abstract

We present a dynamic model of international lending in which borrowers cannot commit to future repayments, and where debtors can sometimes successfully negotiate partial defaults, or "rescheduling agreements~. All parties in a debt rescheduling negotiation realize that today's rescheduling agreement may itself have to be ren-egotiated in the future. Our bargaining-theoretic approach allows us to handle the effects ~f uncertainty on sovereign debt contracts in a much more satisfactory way than in earlier analyses. The framework is readily extended to analyze the conflicting interests of different lenders, and of banks and creditor-country taxpayers.

主权债务债务重新谈判不完全承诺国际借贷