ENROLLMENT FORECASTING: USE OF A MULTIPLE‐METHOD MODEL FOR PLANNING AND BUDGETING*
提出一种结合队列模型和回归技术的多方法模型，用于院系、学院和大学层面的招生预测，在资源分配中表现出高准确性和灵活性。
A multiple‐method approach is presented for making enrollment projections at the departmental, school, and university level. The various methods utilized are based on the application of a cohort model (macro level) and regression techniques (micro level). The model demonstrates its flexibility in selecting one of a number of regression techniques according to a comparison approach using historical and projected results. This multiple‐method approach has proved to be highly accurate and thus useful in allocating and redistributing resources to the operating units of a university. Previous efforts have relied almost solely on a single regression technique for projections and allocation purposes rather than a method based on a measure of flexibility, adaptability, and prediction confirmation.