Copula在住房危机中的作用

The Role of Copulas in the Housing Crisis

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2010
被引 87
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

指出高斯Copula在计算债务抵押债券风险时假设极端事件不相关,但在住房危机等极端情况下不适用,并通过对比不同Copula模型发现其低估了房价关联度。

Abstract

Due to its simplicity and familiarity, the Gaussian copula is popular in calculating risk in collaterized debt obligations, but it imposes asymptotic independence such that extreme events appear to be unrelated. This restriction might be innocuous in normal times, but during extreme events, such as the housing crisis, the Gaussian copula might be inappropriate. This paper explores various copula specifications and finds that the degree to which housing prices are related based on the Gaussian copula is too small compared with real housing price data. © 2012 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

高斯连接函数次贷危机尾部相依抵押债务凭证