为战略优势而说谎:意图的理性与有限理性歪曲

Lying for Strategic Advantage: Rational and Boundedly Rational Misrepresentation of Intentions

American Economic Review · 2003
被引 391
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

以盟军在加莱佯攻、诺曼底登陆为例,建模向对手或敌人歪曲意图的行为。模型允许有限战略理性及理性玩家的应对,通过无成本、无噪音信息给出合理的说谎解释,并分析纯策略与混合策略均衡。

Abstract

Starting from an example of the Allies' decision to feint at Calais and attack Normandy on D-Day, this paper models misrepresentation of intentions to competitors or enemies. Allowing for the possibility of bounded strategic rationality and rational players' responses to it yields a sensible account of lying via costless, noiseless messages. In some leading cases, the model has generically unique pure-strategy sequential equilibria, in which rational players exploit boundedly rational players, but are not themselves fooled. In others, the model has generically essentially unique mixed-strategy sequential equilibria, in which rational players' strategies protect all players from exploitation.

战略谎报有限理性序贯均衡欺骗策略