What Weight Should be Given to Asset Prices in the Measurement of Inflation?
探讨了将资产价格纳入通胀衡量指标的理论与实际依据,指出纯理论方法会过度赋予不稳定资产价格权重,并提出基于计量关系或最终支出的更优加权方案,其中住房处理是关键。
Besides the theoretical (Alchian/Klein, 1973) case for including asset prices in measures of inflation, there is also a practical case, that some asset prices, notably housing, are closely associated with the main trends in inflation, and via ‘bubbles and busts’ with output disturbances. Attempts to use the pure Alchian/Klein methodology in practice give excessive weight to unstable asset prices, but there are more appropriate weighting schemes, derived either from econometrically measured relationships or from final expenditures. Either way, the statistical treatment of housing is crucial, and is being discussed in Eurostat.